Primera A — Colombia
Wed, Mar 25 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Municipal de Cota
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.12) 1.40 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 18.3% 19.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 1
7.4%
1 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.0% 7.0% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.3% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.3% 7.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack53%67%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza FC Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%0%27%67%40%55%
Draws40%50%45%33%20%27%
Loses0%50%27%0%40%18%

Form: Fortaleza FC: WDDDDLWLDWL • Deportivo Pasto: WWWLDWDDWWL

League goals

Metric Fortaleza FC Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
GF total76139716
GF avg1.41.01.21.51.41.5
GA total4121641014
GA avg0.82.01.50.72.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%82%82%64%
1.527%27%55%36%
2.50%18%9%18%
3.50%18%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Wins13
Draws42
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses—4-1—3-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against1424

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Pasto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 10Bet
Away3.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 10Bet
No1.75 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza FC = 2.51 (league 1.12), Deportivo Pasto = 1.40 (league 0.80)

Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.0% 7.0% 4.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.3% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.3% 7.4% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 19.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1