Tue, Mar 31 2026 • 01:20 •
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Expected Goals
3.40 (league 1.18)
0.68 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
best score tips
3 - 0
11.1%
2 - 0
9.8%
4 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Fortaleza FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Millonarios | 0 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 60% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 71% | 17% | 46% | 50% | 0% | 23% |
| Draws | 14% | 17% | 15% | 33% | 43% | 38% |
| Loses | 14% | 67% | 38% | 17% | 57% | 38% |
MillonariosLLLDDWWLWWLWW
Fortaleza FCWDDDDLWLDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 9 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 62% | 85% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 38% | 23% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 8% | 0% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-4 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 73.8% | 26.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.63 @ Superbet
Draw4.15 @ Betano
Away6.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.02 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Betano
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League standings
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