Primera A — Colombia
Wed, Apr 1 2026 • 21:10 • Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.12) 1.89 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 22.4% 50.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Valledupar 0 4.1% 7.9% 7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.3% 10.1% 9.6% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.4% 6.5% 6.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza ValleduparDeportivo Pasto
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack36%100%
Defense55%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Valledupar Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Played66127613
Wins33%0%17%71%50%62%
Draws50%33%42%29%17%23%
Loses17%67%42%0%33%15%

Form: Alianza Valledupar: LLDLDDLLDDWW • Deportivo Pasto: WWWLDWDDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Alianza Valledupar Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
GF total52711920
GF avg0.80.30.61.61.51.5
GA total6131941115
GA avg1.02.21.60.61.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza ValleduparDeportivo Pasto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%83%85%62%
1.50%33%62%31%
2.50%25%8%15%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza ValleduparDeportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Clean sheets202415
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricAlianza ValleduparDeportivo Pasto
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricAlianza ValleduparDeportivo Pasto
Wins03
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-01-2
Biggest losses0-35-0—3-0
Goals For1132
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricAlianza ValleduparDeportivo Pasto
Form40%60%
Att27%73%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Pasto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.05 @ 10Bet
Away2.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Unibet
No1.77 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Valledupar = 1.29 (league 1.12), Deportivo Pasto = 1.89 (league 0.79)

Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Valledupar 0 4.1% 7.9% 7.4% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.3% 10.1% 9.6% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.4% 6.5% 6.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 50.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1