Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 01:05 •
Estadio Departamental Libertad
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.18)
1.10 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.2% | 27.7% | 31.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.9%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportes Tolima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportivo Pasto | 0 | 9.3% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportivo Pasto | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 54% | 92% |
| Defense | 46% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportivo Pasto | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 63% | 43% | 53% | 75% | 14% | 47% |
| Draws | 25% | 29% | 27% | 13% | 71% | 40% |
| Loses | 13% | 29% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
Deportivo PastoWWWLDWDDWWLWWLD
Deportes TolimaWWDDLDWLWDWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Deportivo Pasto | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportivo Pasto | Deportes Tolima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 33% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 13% | 13% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportivo Pasto | Deportes Tolima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportivo Pasto | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportivo Pasto | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportivo Pasto | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 37% | 63% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.90 @ 10Bet
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away5.10 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ 10Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
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