Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 01:30 •
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Expected Goals
2.77 (league 1.18)
0.40 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.1% | 10.4% | 3.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
14.9%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Bucaramanga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletico Nacional | 0 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.9% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 20% |
| Attack | 67% | 47% |
| Defense | 73% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Bucaramanga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 88% | 63% | 75% | 50% | 13% | 31% |
| Draws | 13% | 0% | 6% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
| Loses | 0% | 38% | 19% | 13% | 38% | 25% |
Atletico NacionalWWWLWWLWWWLWWDWW
BucaramangaWDDWDDDWWDDLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Bucaramanga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 13 | 33 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletico Nacional | Bucaramanga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 63% | 63% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 13% | 38% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 6% | 19% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Bucaramanga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletico Nacional | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 81% | 19% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 13% | 88% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.94 @ Dafabet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away5.50 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.90 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…