Primera A — Colombia
Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 23:00 • Estadio Departamental Libertad
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.17) 0.97 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.4% 26.7% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.6%
2 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Fe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pasto 0 9.1% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.6% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.0% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo PastoSanta Fe
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack50%71%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Pasto Santa Fe
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins67%50%59%38%22%29%
Draws22%25%24%38%56%47%
Loses11%25%18%25%22%24%
Deportivo PastoWWWLDWDDWWLWWLDWW
Santa FeDDDWDLLWLDDWWLDDW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Pasto Santa Fe
HATHAT
GF total131225141024
GF avg1.41.51.51.81.11.4
GA total6131991120
GA avg0.71.61.11.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo PastoSanta Fe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%59%88%88%
1.553%35%35%24%
2.512%12%6%6%
3.50%6%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo PastoSanta Fe
HATHAT
Clean sheets527112
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricDeportivo PastoSanta Fe
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricDeportivo PastoSanta Fe
Wins32
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-35-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-01-23-1
Goals For3352
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo PastoSanta Fe
Form56%44%
Att41%59%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total54.0%46.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Betano
Draw3.14 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 1xBet
No1.80 @ Bet365
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League standings

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