Primera A — Colombia
Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 20:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Santa Fe

—

Internacional de Bogota

Expected Goals
2.46 (league 1.17) 1.38 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.1% 18.6% 20.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
3 - 1
7.3%
1 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Internacional de Bogota
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 2.2% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.3% 7.3% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 9.0% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.3% 7.3% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.5% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Santa Fe carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 154 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Santa Fe +40.0, Internacional de Bogota +0.1.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Santa Fe Elo 1571.2 · +40.0
vs
Internacional de Bogota Elo 1452.6 · +0.1
Elo gapSanta Fe +154
Home / draw / away58% / 18% / 24%
Expected home share71%
Combined Elo3023.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3023.8
Elo home share 71%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Santa Fe Internacional de Bogota
Overall Elo1571.21452.6
Form Elo1587.41469
Home / Away Elo1527.61456.4
Attack Elo1555.11414.5
Defense Elo1579.81458.4
Last 5 Elo change+40.0+0.1

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Santa Fe last-5 Elo change: +40.0; Internacional de Bogota last-5 Elo change: +0.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta FeInternacional de Bogota
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack83%33%
Defense58%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Fe Internacional de Bogota
HATHAT
Played810188917
Wins38%30%33%50%22%35%
Draws38%50%44%38%44%41%
Loses25%20%22%13%33%24%
Santa FeDDDWDLLWLDDWWLDDWW
Internacional de BogotaLWWDWWDWDDDDLLDWL

League goals

Metric Santa Fe Internacional de Bogota
HATHAT
GF total14122612921
GF avg1.81.21.41.51.01.2
GA total9122191423
GA avg1.11.21.21.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta FeInternacional de Bogota
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%65%82%
1.539%22%41%41%
2.56%6%18%12%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta FeInternacional de Bogota
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112336

Penalties

MetricSanta FeInternacional de Bogota
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSanta FeInternacional de Bogota
Wins22
Draws34
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-23-22-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-13-0
Goals For5233
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSanta FeInternacional de Bogota
Form67%33%
Att71%29%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h60%40%
Goals73%27%
Total65.7%34.3%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Santa Fe vs Internacional de Bogota