Monagas SC vs Puerto Cabello

Primera División — Venezuela

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 20:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

Monagas SC

—

Puerto Cabello

Expected Goals

1.89 (league 1.08) 0.99 (league 0.92)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
57.2%	22.2%	19.3%

best score tips

1 - 0

10.7%

1 - 1

10.5%

2 - 0

10.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Puerto Cabello
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Monagas SC	0	5.6%	5.6%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	10.7%	10.5%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	10.1%	9.9%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
	3	6.3%	6.2%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	3.0%	2.9%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	1.1%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Monagas SC -26.9, Puerto Cabello +4.8.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Monagas SC Elo 1454.3 · -26.9

Puerto Cabello Elo 1475.2 · +4.8

Elo gapMonagas SC +14

Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%

Expected home share52%

Combined Elo2929.5

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2929.5

Elo home share 52%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Monagas SC	Puerto Cabello
Overall Elo	1454.3	1475.2
Form Elo	1430.9	1475.1
Home / Away Elo	1481.9	1476.2
Attack Elo	1529.2	1429.8
Defense Elo	1416.5	1530.6
Last 5 Elo change	-26.9	+4.8

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Monagas SC last-5 Elo change: -26.9; Puerto Cabello last-5 Elo change: +4.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Monagas SC	Puerto Cabello
Played	5	5
Form	27%	47%
Attack	41%	47%
Defense	59%	59%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%

FT probability

2.5+

51%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-5

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Monagas SC			Puerto Cabello
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	6	12	6	6	12
Wins	50%	0%	25%	50%	17%	33%
Draws	17%	0%	8%	17%	50%	33%
Loses	33%	100%	67%	33%	33%	33%

Monagas SCLLLLLWWLDLWL

Puerto CabelloDDWLLWDWDLLW

League goals

Metric	Monagas SC			Puerto Cabello
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	10	3	13	11	4	15
GF avg	1.7	0.5	1.1	1.8	0.7	1.3
GA total	8	13	21	6	7	13
GA avg	1.3	2.2	1.8	1.0	1.2	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Monagas SC		Puerto Cabello
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	58%	83%	83%	67%
1.5	33%	50%	25%	33%
2.5	17%	33%	17%	8%
3.5	0%	8%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Monagas SC			Puerto Cabello
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	0	2	2	2	4
Failed to score	1	4	5	0	2	2

Penalties

Metric	Monagas SC	Puerto Cabello
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	2

Streaks

Metric	Monagas SC	Puerto Cabello
Wins	2	1
Draws	1	2
Losses	5	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	—	3-0	0-1
Biggest losses	0-3	4-0	1-2	3-0
Goals For	3	2	3	1
Goals Against	3	4	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Monagas SC	Puerto Cabello
Form	36%	64%
Att	47%	53%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	64%	36%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	44%	56%
Total	45.0%	55.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Monagas SC vs Puerto Cabello

Metric	Monagas SC	Puerto Cabello
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	2