Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 20:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.08)
2.39 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 14.6% | 75.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.6%
0 - 1
13.0%
0 - 3
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo La Guaira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trujillanos FC | 0 | 5.4% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Deportivo La Guaira carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 92 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Trujillanos FC -76.4, Deportivo La Guaira +18.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Trujillanos FC
vs
Deportivo La Guaira
Elo gapDeportivo La Guaira +92
Home / draw / away30% / 20% / 50%
Expected home share37%
Combined Elo3155
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3155
Elo home share
37%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1514 | 1641 |
| Form Elo | 1463.5 | 1656 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1529 | 1558 |
| Attack Elo | 1435 | 1559.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1575.6 | 1665 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -76.4 | +18.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Trujillanos FC last-5 Elo change: -76.4; Deportivo La Guaira last-5 Elo change: +18.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 60% |
| Attack | 24% | 29% |
| Defense | 12% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 17% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 83% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Trujillanos FCLDDDDLLLLLLL
Deportivo La GuairaWDWDWWDDWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 92% | 75% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 67% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 42% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Trujillanos FC | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 29.8% | 70.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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