Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 14:00 • Stadion Kustosija
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.77) 0.95 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.9% 17.4% 13.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Varteks Varaždin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kustosija 0 3.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.5% 8.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.1% 7.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.9% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKustosijaVarteks Varaždin
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack57%29%
Defense79%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kustosija Varteks Varaždin
HATHAT
Played791610616
Wins43%78%63%40%33%38%
Draws29%22%25%20%0%13%
Loses29%0%13%40%67%50%

Form: Kustosija: DWWLWDWWWDDWWWLW • Varteks Varaždin: WLLDWWWLLWLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Kustosija Varteks Varaždin
HATHAT
GF total12183013821
GF avg1.72.01.91.31.31.3
GA total6612101525
GA avg0.90.70.81.02.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKustosijaVarteks Varaždin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%56%69%69%
1.538%19%38%50%
2.531%0%19%31%
3.519%0%6%6%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKustosijaVarteks Varaždin
HATHAT
Clean sheets347505
Failed to score101325

Penalties

MetricKustosijaVarteks Varaždin
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricKustosijaVarteks Varaždin
Wins33
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-01-3
Biggest losses0-21-34-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricKustosijaVarteks Varaždin
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total73.8%26.3%

Advice: Winner : Kustosija

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Bet365
Draw4.75 @ 188Bet
Away7.80 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kustosija = 2.39 (league 1.77), Varteks Varaždin = 0.95 (league 1.24)

Varteks Varaždin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kustosija 0 3.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.5% 8.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.1% 7.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.9% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 13.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1