FA Cup — England
Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.80) 4.11 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.7% 10.3% 56.1%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.1%
1 - 3
6.0%
2 - 4
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.6% 3.6% 3.7% 3.0%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.4% 6.0% 6.1% 5.0%
2 0.4% 1.8% 3.6% 5.0% 5.1% 4.2%
3 0.2% 1.0% 2.0% 2.8% 2.8% 2.3%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirminghamLeeds
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack19%19%
Defense88%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 33 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham Leeds
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%
BirminghamW
LeedsW

League goals

Metric Birmingham Leeds
HATHAT
GF total033033
GF avg0.03.03.00.03.03.0
GA total022011
GA avg0.02.02.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirminghamLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%100%100%0%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirminghamLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBirminghamLeeds
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBirminghamLeeds
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-3—1-3
Biggest losses————
Goals For0303
Goals Against0201

Model comparison

MetricBirminghamLeeds
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total42.6%57.4%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Superbet
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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