FA Cup — England
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 20:00 • Anfield
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.76) 1.37 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.9% 19.8% 22.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool 0 2.6% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.9% 8.1% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.0% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpoolBrighton
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack22%11%
Defense94%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 42 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 11 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

96%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool Brighton
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Liverpool: W • Brighton: W

League goals

Metric Liverpool Brighton
HATHAT
GF total404022
GF avg4.00.04.00.02.02.0
GA total101011
GA avg1.00.01.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpoolBrighton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.5100%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpoolBrighton
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricLiverpoolBrighton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLiverpoolBrighton
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1——1-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For4002
Goals Against1001

Model comparison

MetricLiverpoolBrighton
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h80%20%
Goals61%39%
Total61.7%38.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Liverpool and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.90 @ Pinnacle
Away5.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.88 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liverpool = 2.27 (league 1.76), Brighton = 1.37 (league 1.46)

Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool 0 2.6% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.9% 8.1% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.7% 9.3% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.0% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.9% 4.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.9% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 22.2%

vtt 17 , vtd1