FA Cup — England
Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.76) 1.03 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 27.8% 29.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 9.7% 10.0% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.0% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValeBristol City
Played31
Form100%100%
Attack70%50%
Defense90%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 2.35 | 5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.31 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Bristol City
HATHAT
Played303101
Wins100%—100%100%—100%
Draws0%—0%0%—0%
Loses0%—0%0%—0%

Form: Port Vale: WWW • Bristol City: W

League goals

Metric Port Vale Bristol City
HATHAT
GF total707505
GF avg2.30.02.35.00.05.0
GA total101101
GA avg0.30.00.31.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValeBristol City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%100%
1.533%0%100%0%
2.533%0%100%0%
3.533%0%100%0%
4.533%0%100%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValeBristol City
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPort ValeBristol City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPort ValeBristol City
Wins31
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—5-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For5050
Goals Against1010

Model comparison

MetricPort ValeBristol City
Form75%25%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h9%91%
Goals14%86%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Bristol City and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away1.79 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 1.30 (league 1.76), Bristol City = 1.03 (league 1.46)

Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 9.7% 10.0% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.0% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 29.3%

vtt 2 , vtd1