FA Cup — England
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.76) 2.75 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.3% 6.9% 86.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
23.0%
0 - 3
21.1%
0 - 1
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Leicester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 6.1% 16.7% 23.0% 21.1% 14.5% 8.0%
1 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthamptonLeicester
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack19%13%
Defense88%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 32 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 20 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton Leicester
HATHAT
Played011011
Wins—100%100%—100%100%
Draws—0%0%—0%0%
Loses—0%0%—0%0%

Form: Southampton: W • Leicester: W

League goals

Metric Southampton Leicester
HATHAT
GF total033022
GF avg0.03.03.00.02.02.0
GA total022000
GA avg0.02.02.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthamptonLeicester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.5100%100%100%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthamptonLeicester
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSouthamptonLeicester
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSouthamptonLeicester
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-3—0-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For0302
Goals Against0200

Model comparison

MetricSouthamptonLeicester
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h40%60%
Goals41%59%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leicester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betfair
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Betano
Under 2.52.29 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 0.05 (league 1.76), Leicester = 2.75 (league 1.45)

Leicester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 6.1% 16.7% 23.0% 21.1% 14.5% 8.0%
1 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 6.9% · Away win 86.6%

vtt 4 , vtd1