Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.77)
1.18 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.4% | 31.6% | 55.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
24.4%
0 - 0
20.7%
0 - 2
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| NSI Runavik | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Skála | 0 | 20.7% | 24.4% | 14.4% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
NSI Runavik carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 20 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Skála -54.9, NSI Runavik +29.5.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Skála
vs
NSI Runavik
Elo gapNSI Runavik +20
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo3261
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3261
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | Skála | NSI Runavik |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1602.9 | 1658.1 |
| Form Elo | 1555.9 | 1684.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1568.5 | 1572.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1885.5 | 1893 |
| Defense Elo | 1679.6 | 1537.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -54.9 | +29.5 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Skála last-5 Elo change: -54.9; NSI Runavik last-5 Elo change: +29.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Skála | NSI Runavik |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Attack | 25% | 100% |
| Defense | 38% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Skála | NSI Runavik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 83% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
SkálaLLLLDD
NSI RunavikWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Skála | NSI Runavik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Skála | NSI Runavik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Skála | NSI Runavik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Skála | NSI Runavik |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Skála | NSI Runavik |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Skála | NSI Runavik |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 16% | 84% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 29.5% | 70.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home7.20 @ Dafabet
Draw4.80 @ Dafabet
Away1.37 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.48 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.65 @ Unibet
No2.08 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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