Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.77)
0.31 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2% | 58.0% | 19.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
52.3%
1 - 0
17.7%
0 - 1
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
| 07 Vestur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| EB / Streymur | 0 | 52.3% | 16.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
EB / Streymur carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 54 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: EB / Streymur +8.8, 07 Vestur -0.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
EB / Streymur
vs
07 Vestur
Elo gapEB / Streymur +54
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2802.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2802.9
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | EB / Streymur | 07 Vestur |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1411.1 | 1391.8 |
| Form Elo | 1414.3 | 1386.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1427.7 | 1434.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1420 | 1438.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1324 | 1422.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.8 | -0.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. EB / Streymur last-5 Elo change: +8.8; 07 Vestur last-5 Elo change: -0.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | EB / Streymur | 07 Vestur |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 38% | 13% |
| Defense | 13% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | EB / Streymur | 07 Vestur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 100% | 83% |
EB / StreymurLLDWLL
07 VesturLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | EB / Streymur | 07 Vestur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | EB / Streymur | 07 Vestur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 33% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 50% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | EB / Streymur | 07 Vestur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | EB / Streymur | 07 Vestur |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | EB / Streymur | 07 Vestur |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-1 | 1-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | EB / Streymur | 07 Vestur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 64.4% | 35.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ 1xBet
Away2.32 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.58 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.15 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Unibet
No2.38 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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