Expected Goals
5.31 (league 1.77)
0.05 (league 1.65)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
best score tips
5 - 0
16.5%
4 - 0
15.5%
3 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| B68 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vikingur Gota | 0 | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 15.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 16.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Vikingur Gota carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 149 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vikingur Gota +26.5, B68 +11.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Vikingur Gota
vs
B68
Elo gapVikingur Gota +149
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3053.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3053.1
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Vikingur Gota | B68 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1583.5 | 1469.6 |
| Form Elo | 1602.1 | 1477.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1544.1 | 1450 |
| Attack Elo | 1570.7 | 1569 |
| Defense Elo | 1650.8 | 1292.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +26.5 | +11.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Vikingur Gota last-5 Elo change: +26.5; B68 last-5 Elo change: +11.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vikingur Gota | B68 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 75% | 88% |
| Defense | 75% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 16 | 3.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vikingur Gota | B68 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
Vikingur GotaLDWLWD
B68LWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Vikingur Gota | B68 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vikingur Gota | B68 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 50% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vikingur Gota | B68 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vikingur Gota | B68 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vikingur Gota | B68 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vikingur Gota | B68 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 98% | 2% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 76.3% | 23.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.26 @ Unibet
Draw6.00 @ Marathonbet
Away10.90 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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