Expected Goals
0.74 (league 2.04)
8.14 (league 1.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% | 0.3% | 17.4% |
best score tips
0 - 5
4.2%
1 - 5
3.1%
0 - 4
2.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Suduroy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| NSÍ II | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
NSÍ II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 68 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: NSÍ II +5.5, Suduroy +70.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
NSÍ II
vs
Suduroy
Elo gapNSÍ II +68
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2870.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2870.1
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | NSÍ II | Suduroy |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1451.4 | 1418.7 |
| Form Elo | 1460.7 | 1481.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1456.3 | 1469.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1621.7 | 1493.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1330.3 | 1300.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +5.5 | +70.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. NSÍ II last-5 Elo change: +5.5; Suduroy last-5 Elo change: +70.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | NSÍ II | Suduroy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 87% |
| Attack | 50% | 94% |
| Defense | 56% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
67%
FT probability
BTTS
92%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | NSÍ II | Suduroy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 20% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 75% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
NSÍ IIDLDWD
SuduroyWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | NSÍ II | Suduroy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | NSÍ II | Suduroy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 100% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | NSÍ II | Suduroy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | NSÍ II | Suduroy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | NSÍ II | Suduroy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 6-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 3-4 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | NSÍ II | Suduroy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 8% | 92% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 31.5% | 68.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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