Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 2.04)
0.44 (league 1.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6% | 20.3% | 8.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.9%
2 - 0
17.4%
3 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| TB | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ÍF II | 0 | 10.3% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 7.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
ÍF II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 134 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: ÍF II -20.2, TB +28.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
ÍF II
vs
TB
Elo gapÍF II +134
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo2832.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2832.7
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | ÍF II | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1466 | 1366.7 |
| Form Elo | 1462.2 | 1400.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1514.3 | 1430.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1589.7 | 1379.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1270 | 1108.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -20.2 | +28.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. ÍF II last-5 Elo change: -20.2; TB last-5 Elo change: +28.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ÍF II | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 58% |
| Attack | 44% | 33% |
| Defense | 6% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 17 | 3.4 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
67%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ÍF II | TB | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
ÍF IIWLLWDD
TBDWLW
League goals
| Metric | ÍF II | TB | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 16 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ÍF II | TB | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 67% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ÍF II | TB | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | ÍF II | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ÍF II | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 6-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ÍF II | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 19% | 81% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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