Sat, May 2 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.98)
2.79 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 17.7% | 42.9% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
5.9%
1 - 2
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
| HB II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| EB / Streymur II | 0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
HB II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 66 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: EB / Streymur II -14.0, HB II -8.8.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
EB / Streymur II
vs
HB II
Elo gapHB II +66
Home / draw / away32% / 22% / 46%
Expected home share41%
Combined Elo2853.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2853.6
Elo home share
41%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | EB / Streymur II | HB II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1376.1 | 1477.5 |
| Form Elo | 1351.7 | 1466.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1457.2 | 1494.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1406.2 | 1490.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1158 | 1494 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -14.0 | -8.8 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. EB / Streymur II last-5 Elo change: -14.0; HB II last-5 Elo change: -8.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | EB / Streymur II | HB II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | EB / Streymur II | HB II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 14% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 75% | 67% | 71% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
EB / Streymur IILLWLLLD
HB IILDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | EB / Streymur II | HB II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | EB / Streymur II | HB II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 83% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 71% | 17% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 71% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 17% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | EB / Streymur II | HB II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | EB / Streymur II | HB II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | EB / Streymur II | HB II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | — | — | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | EB / Streymur II | HB II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 28% | 72% |
| Total | 37.3% | 62.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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