Sat, May 2 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.98) 1.14 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 25.5% 28.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
NSÍ II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Víkingur II 0 7.0% 8.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Víkingur II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 105 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Víkingur II -19.4, NSÍ II -2.1.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Víkingur II Elo 1512.2 · -19.4
vs
NSÍ II Elo 1442.4 · -2.1
Elo gapVíkingur II +105
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo2954.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2954.6
Elo home share 65%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Víkingur II NSÍ II
Overall Elo1512.21442.4
Form Elo1507.81440.5
Home / Away Elo1489.11499.2
Attack Elo1612.91606.9
Defense Elo1471.51339.1
Last 5 Elo change-19.4-2.1

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Víkingur II last-5 Elo change: -19.4; NSÍ II last-5 Elo change: -2.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVíkingur IINSÍ II
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack52%38%
Defense67%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Víkingur II NSÍ II
HATHAT
Played437246
Wins75%33%57%0%25%17%
Draws25%33%29%0%75%50%
Loses0%33%14%100%0%33%
Víkingur IIWWDWDLW
NSÍ IIDLDWDL

League goals

Metric Víkingur II NSÍ II
HATHAT
GF total12618369
GF avg3.02.02.61.51.51.5
GA total5510549
GA avg1.31.71.42.51.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVíkingur IINSÍ II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%83%100%
1.586%57%33%17%
2.557%0%33%17%
3.529%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVíkingur IINSÍ II
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricVíkingur IINSÍ II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVíkingur IINSÍ II
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-41-3
Biggest losses2-03-4
Goals For4433
Goals Against2241

Model comparison

MetricVíkingur IINSÍ II
Form62%38%
Att58%42%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total62.3%37.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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