Júniores U19 — Portugal
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Porto U19

—

Benfica U19

Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.49) 0.94 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.9% 15.8% 11.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.2%
3 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica U19
0 1 2 3 4 5
Porto U19 0 2.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.6% 7.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.8% 9.2% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 8.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.5% 5.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Porto U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 78 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Porto U19 +41.7, Benfica U19 +3.5.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Porto U19 Elo 1714.7 · +41.7
vs
Benfica U19 Elo 1672 · +3.5
Elo gapPorto U19 +78
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo3386.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3386.7
Elo home share 61%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Porto U19 Benfica U19
Overall Elo1714.71672
Form Elo1746.31673.9
Home / Away Elo1599.21579.2
Attack Elo1951.41875.4
Defense Elo1568.61587
Last 5 Elo change+41.7+3.5

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Porto U19 last-5 Elo change: +41.7; Benfica U19 last-5 Elo change: +3.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPorto U19Benfica U19
Played55
Form100%67%
Attack100%93%
Defense86%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Porto U19 Benfica U19
HATHAT
Played141428131427
Wins93%79%86%62%43%52%
Draws0%21%11%31%43%37%
Loses7%0%4%8%14%11%
Porto U19WWWWWWWWWDWWWWLWWWDWWDWWWWWW
Benfica U19WDDWWWLDDWWDDWWLWWDWDDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Porto U19 Benfica U19
HATHAT
GF total494796282553
GF avg3.53.43.42.21.82.0
GA total101727111526
GA avg0.71.21.00.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePorto U19Benfica U19
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%57%96%59%
1.586%29%63%26%
2.575%7%22%7%
3.536%4%15%4%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPorto U19Benfica U19
HATHAT
Clean sheets84126511
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricPorto U19Benfica U19
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricPorto U19Benfica U19
Wins93
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-94-01-4
Biggest losses1-2—0-13-2
Goals For6944
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricPorto U19Benfica U19
Form60%40%
Att59%41%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h15%85%
Goals41%59%
Total53.2%46.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Porto U19 vs Benfica U19