Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.48)
1.12 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.4% | 28.0% | 33.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.7%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting CP U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gil Vicente U19 | 0 | 9.4% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Sporting CP U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 77 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Gil Vicente U19 +4.5, Sporting CP U19 -7.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Gil Vicente U19
vs
Sporting CP U19
Elo gapSporting CP U19 +77
Home / draw / away31% / 21% / 48%
Expected home share39%
Combined Elo3060.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3060.6
Elo home share
39%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Gil Vicente U19 | Sporting CP U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1474.1 | 1586.5 |
| Form Elo | 1461.7 | 1589.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1477.2 | 1525.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1459.1 | 1566.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1530.8 | 1590.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +4.5 | -7.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Gil Vicente U19 last-5 Elo change: +4.5; Sporting CP U19 last-5 Elo change: -7.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gil Vicente U19 | Sporting CP U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 43% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gil Vicente U19 | Sporting CP U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 50% | 29% | 39% | 50% | 36% | 43% |
| Draws | 7% | 21% | 14% | 21% | 36% | 29% |
| Loses | 43% | 50% | 46% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
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League goals
| Metric | Gil Vicente U19 | Sporting CP U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 18 | 38 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 14 | 26 | 40 | 11 | 18 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gil Vicente U19 | Sporting CP U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 75% | 79% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 43% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 18% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gil Vicente U19 | Sporting CP U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gil Vicente U19 | Sporting CP U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gil Vicente U19 | Sporting CP U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 3-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 2-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gil Vicente U19 | Sporting CP U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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