Sat, May 2 2026 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.50)
0.65 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.7% | 33.3% | 22.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
18.6%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Clara U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting CP U19 | 0 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.8% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Sporting CP U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 88 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sporting CP U19 +18.7, Santa Clara U19 +19.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sporting CP U19
vs
Santa Clara U19
Elo gapSporting CP U19 +88
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3142.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3142.8
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Sporting CP U19 | Santa Clara U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1598 | 1544.8 |
| Form Elo | 1607.5 | 1555.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1546.6 | 1518.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1594 | 1489.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1592.2 | 1580.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.7 | +19.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sporting CP U19 last-5 Elo change: +18.7; Santa Clara U19 last-5 Elo change: +19.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting CP U19 | Santa Clara U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 52% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting CP U19 | Santa Clara U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 45% | 33% | 43% | 38% |
| Draws | 21% | 33% | 28% | 47% | 21% | 34% |
| Loses | 29% | 27% | 28% | 20% | 36% | 28% |
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Santa Clara U19DWWWDWWDDDLLLLDWDWDLDWDLLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Sporting CP U19 | Santa Clara U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 21 | 16 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 11 | 19 | 30 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting CP U19 | Santa Clara U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 59% | 76% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 24% | 38% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 10% | 10% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting CP U19 | Santa Clara U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting CP U19 | Santa Clara U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting CP U19 | Santa Clara U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 6-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting CP U19 | Santa Clara U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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