Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 10:30 • Gimcheon Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.35) 0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 37.4% 41.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.8%
0 - 1
21.7%
1 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gwangju FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 24.8% 21.7% 9.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 11.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
Played33
Form33%56%
Attack25%25%
Defense75%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu FC Gwangju FC
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws100%100%100%50%100%67%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Gimcheon Sangmu FC: DDD • Gwangju FC: DWD

League goals

Metric Gimcheon Sangmu FC Gwangju FC
HATHAT
GF total213303
GF avg1.01.01.01.50.01.0
GA total213202
GA avg1.01.01.01.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%33%33%
1.50%0%33%33%
2.50%0%33%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
Wins01
Draws31
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-2—
Biggest losses————
Goals For1130
Goals Against1120

Model comparison

MetricGimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total41.8%58.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gwangju FC and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 188Bet
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away5.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ SBO
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimcheon Sangmu FC = 0.52 (league 1.35), Gwangju FC = 0.87 (league 1.14)

Gwangju FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0 24.8% 21.7% 9.5% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 11.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.3% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 41.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1