Sun, May 3 2026 • 12:00 •
Grigol Jomartidze Stadium
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.80)
0.26 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.1% | 52.9% | 15.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
46.5%
1 - 0
23.3%
0 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gonio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Irao | 0 | 46.5% | 12.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.3% | 6.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Irao carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 124 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Irao +20.6, Gonio +14.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Irao
vs
Gonio
Elo gapIrao +124
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo3029.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3029.8
Elo home share
67%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Irao | Gonio |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1559.5 | 1470.3 |
| Form Elo | 1584 | 1493.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1516.3 | 1491 |
| Attack Elo | 1610.6 | 1448.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1548.4 | 1471.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +20.6 | +14.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Irao last-5 Elo change: +20.6; Gonio last-5 Elo change: +14.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Irao | Gonio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 53% |
| Attack | 80% | 27% |
| Defense | 67% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Irao | Gonio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 86% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
IraoWWWLWWW
GonioWWWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Irao | Gonio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Irao | Gonio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 57% | 71% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 29% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Irao | Gonio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Irao | Gonio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Irao | Gonio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Irao | Gonio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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