Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.24) 0.75 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.0% 22.7% 15.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valletta FC 0 7.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 10.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValletta FCNaxxar Lions
Played55
Form73%80%
Attack89%100%
Defense100%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 07 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valletta FC Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
Played1081871118
Wins50%50%50%29%27%28%
Draws30%38%33%14%18%17%
Loses20%13%17%57%55%56%

Form: Valletta FC: DDWWDWWWWDLLLWWDWD • Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLDLLDLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Valletta FC Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
GF total13122571421
GF avg1.31.51.41.01.31.2
GA total7411101929
GA avg0.70.50.61.41.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValletta FCNaxxar Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%50%72%89%
1.533%11%28%44%
2.517%0%11%28%
3.511%0%6%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValletta FCNaxxar Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets549112
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricValletta FCNaxxar Lions
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricValletta FCNaxxar Lions
Wins43
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-52-10-4
Biggest losses0-21-01-33-0
Goals For4524
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricValletta FCNaxxar Lions
Form48%52%
Att47%53%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Valletta FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Superbet
Away6.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valletta FC = 1.78 (league 1.24), Naxxar Lions = 0.75 (league 1.21)

Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valletta FC 0 7.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.1% 10.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 9.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.0% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 15.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1