Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 17:30 • Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.27) 0.82 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 30.1% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.0%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Mosta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 13.5% 11.1% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 13.1% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.5% 7.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaxxar LionsMosta
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack50%31%
Defense44%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naxxar Lions Mosta
HATHAT
Played7121991019
Wins29%25%26%11%30%21%
Draws14%17%16%44%0%21%
Loses57%58%58%44%70%58%

Form: Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLDLLDLWWWLWL • Mosta: LWLDLLLLDWWLDLDWLLL

League goals

Metric Naxxar Lions Mosta
HATHAT
GF total7162314721
GF avg1.01.31.21.60.71.1
GA total102333191534
GA avg1.41.91.72.11.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaxxar LionsMosta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%89%68%79%
1.532%47%32%53%
2.511%32%11%26%
3.55%5%0%16%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaxxar LionsMosta
HATHAT
Clean sheets112134
Failed to score235246

Penalties

MetricNaxxar LionsMosta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricNaxxar LionsMosta
Wins32
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-43-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-00-54-1
Goals For2432
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricNaxxar LionsMosta
Form69%31%
Att62%38%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Naxxar Lions or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.25 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.16 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naxxar Lions = 1.18 (league 1.27), Mosta = 0.82 (league 1.20)

Mosta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 13.5% 11.1% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.0% 13.1% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.5% 7.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 25.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1