Wed, Feb 4 2026 • 18:30 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.24) 1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.3% 31.3% 57.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.2%
0 - 0
21.1%
0 - 2
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Floriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valletta FC 0 21.1% 25.2% 15.0% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4%
1 7.7% 9.1% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
2 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricValletta FCFloriana
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack73%53%
Defense87%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Valletta FC Floriana
HATHAT
Played1181913619
Wins55%50%53%54%100%68%
Draws27%38%32%23%0%16%
Loses18%13%16%23%0%16%

Form: Valletta FC: DDWWDWWWWDLLLWWDWDW • Floriana: WWDLWWWWWLDWWWLDWWW

League goals

Metric Valletta FC Floriana
HATHAT
GF total171229201131
GF avg1.51.51.51.51.81.6
GA total941315217
GA avg0.80.50.71.20.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineValletta FCFloriana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%53%84%63%
1.537%16%58%21%
2.521%0%21%5%
3.516%0%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricValletta FCFloriana
HATHAT
Clean sheets549347
Failed to score325303

Penalties

MetricValletta FCFloriana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricValletta FCFloriana
Wins45
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-53-10-3
Biggest losses0-21-01-3—
Goals For4533
Goals Against2131

Model comparison

MetricValletta FCFloriana
Form52%48%
Att58%42%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Floriana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ 188Bet
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away3.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Valletta FC = 0.36 (league 1.24), Floriana = 1.19 (league 1.21)

Floriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Valletta FC 0 21.1% 25.2% 15.0% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4%
1 7.7% 9.1% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
2 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 57.3%

vtt 3 , vtd1