Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 18:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.76 (league 1.24) 0.65 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.2% 12.5% 6.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.6%
3 - 0
11.6%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamrun Spartans 0 3.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.2% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.6% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.0% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamrun SpartansNaxxar Lions
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack38%85%
Defense92%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamrun Spartans Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
Played10102081220
Wins70%50%60%38%25%30%
Draws20%40%30%13%17%15%
Loses10%10%10%50%58%55%

Form: Hamrun Spartans: DDWWDWWLDWWWLWWWWDWD • Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLDLLDLWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Hamrun Spartans Naxxar Lions
HATHAT
GF total181230121628
GF avg1.81.21.51.51.31.4
GA total6511102333
GA avg0.60.50.61.31.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamrun SpartansNaxxar Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%75%85%
1.545%10%35%45%
2.510%5%15%30%
3.55%0%10%5%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamrun SpartansNaxxar Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612213
Failed to score134235

Penalties

MetricHamrun SpartansNaxxar Lions
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricHamrun SpartansNaxxar Lions
Wins43
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-35-00-4
Biggest losses1-32-01-33-0
Goals For6354
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricHamrun SpartansNaxxar Lions
Form55%45%
Att31%69%
Def89%11%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h93%7%
Goals90%10%
Total72.7%27.3%

Advice: Double chance : Hamrun Spartans or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Betano
Draw4.85 @ Superbet
Away8.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamrun Spartans = 2.76 (league 1.24), Naxxar Lions = 0.65 (league 1.21)

Naxxar Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamrun Spartans 0 3.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.2% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.6% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.0% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.2% · Draw 12.5% · Away win 6.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1