Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.26) 1.50 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 22.2% 30.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Birkirkara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 3.4% 5.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.4% 9.5% 7.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.8% 5.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMostaBirkirkara
Played55
Form0%60%
Attack14%100%
Defense0%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mosta Birkirkara
HATHAT
Played10112181321
Wins10%27%19%63%15%33%
Draws40%0%19%13%23%19%
Loses50%73%62%25%62%48%

Form: Mosta: LWLDLLLLDWWLDLDWLLLLL • Birkirkara: DDLDWWDWLWLLLLLLWLLWW

League goals

Metric Mosta Birkirkara
HATHAT
GF total14721121224
GF avg1.40.61.01.50.91.1
GA total20204032225
GA avg2.01.81.90.41.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMostaBirkirkara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%81%57%52%
1.529%52%29%48%
2.510%29%14%5%
3.50%19%10%5%
4.50%10%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMostaBirkirkara
HATHAT
Clean sheets1346410
Failed to score358369

Penalties

MetricMostaBirkirkara
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricMostaBirkirkara
Wins22
Draws12
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-00-4
Biggest losses0-55-00-26-1
Goals For3254
Goals Against5526

Model comparison

MetricMostaBirkirkara
Form0%100%
Att10%90%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total26.3%73.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Birkirkara

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away1.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mosta = 1.89 (league 1.26), Birkirkara = 1.50 (league 1.20)

Birkirkara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 3.4% 5.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.4% 9.5% 7.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 9.0% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.8% 5.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 30.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1