Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 17:30 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.27) 1.10 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.3% 25.6% 27.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floriana 0 7.3% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.1% 12.2% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.2% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlorianaMarsaxlokk
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack69%62%
Defense85%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Floriana Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
Played14822101222
Wins57%88%68%60%42%50%
Draws21%13%18%20%25%23%
Loses21%0%14%20%33%27%

Form: Floriana: WWDLWWWWWLDWWWLDWWWDWW • Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDWDWDLWLDWLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Floriana Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
GF total221335141428
GF avg1.61.61.61.41.21.3
GA total1531891423
GA avg1.10.40.80.91.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlorianaMarsaxlokk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%59%77%68%
1.559%18%41%27%
2.518%5%9%9%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlorianaMarsaxlokk
HATHAT
Clean sheets459347
Failed to score314235

Penalties

MetricFlorianaMarsaxlokk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFlorianaMarsaxlokk
Wins52
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-11-3
Biggest losses1-3—0-23-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricFlorianaMarsaxlokk
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h100%0%
Goals69%31%
Total58.6%41.4%

Advice: Double chance : Floriana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Floriana = 1.51 (league 1.27), Marsaxlokk = 1.10 (league 1.20)

Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Floriana 0 7.3% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.1% 12.2% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.2% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.3% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 27.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1