Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:00 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 1.24) 1.09 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.2% 20.1% 18.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Gzira United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 3.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 8.4% 9.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaxxar LionsGzira United
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack100%71%
Defense0%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naxxar Lions Gzira United
HATHAT
Played91322111122
Wins33%23%27%64%18%41%
Draws22%15%18%9%36%23%
Loses44%62%55%27%45%36%

Form: Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLDLLDLWWWLWLWLD • Gzira United: LDDLDLLWWDWWWWLLWWWDLL

League goals

Metric Naxxar Lions Gzira United
HATHAT
GF total131629171229
GF avg1.41.21.31.51.11.3
GA total112738102131
GA avg1.22.11.70.91.91.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaxxar LionsGzira United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%86%64%73%
1.532%45%41%41%
2.514%32%23%14%
3.59%9%5%9%
4.55%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaxxar LionsGzira United
HATHAT
Clean sheets213426
Failed to score246358

Penalties

MetricNaxxar LionsGzira United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricNaxxar LionsGzira United
Wins34
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-43-03-4
Biggest losses1-34-00-24-1
Goals For5434
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricNaxxar LionsGzira United
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gzira United

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.88 @ 10Bet
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naxxar Lions = 2.15 (league 1.24), Gzira United = 1.09 (league 1.21)

Gzira United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 3.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 8.4% 9.2% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.2% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 18.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1