Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 17:30 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.27) 1.40 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.0% 27.5% 52.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hamrun Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hibernians 0 11.6% 16.3% 11.4% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.2% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHiberniansHamrun Spartans
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack62%46%
Defense62%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hibernians Hamrun Spartans
HATHAT
Played14822121022
Wins50%25%41%67%50%59%
Draws29%25%27%25%40%32%
Loses21%50%32%8%10%9%

Form: Hibernians: WDWDWWLLLLDDWDWLLWWWDL • Hamrun Spartans: DDWWDWWLDWWWLWWWWDWDWD

League goals

Metric Hibernians Hamrun Spartans
HATHAT
GF total261137221234
GF avg1.91.41.71.81.21.5
GA total1914336511
GA avg1.41.81.50.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHiberniansHamrun Spartans
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%86%77%36%
1.555%45%45%9%
2.523%18%14%5%
3.59%0%9%0%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHiberniansHamrun Spartans
HATHAT
Clean sheets3038614
Failed to score235235

Penalties

MetricHiberniansHamrun Spartans
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricHiberniansHamrun Spartans
Wins34
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-36-11-3
Biggest losses0-23-01-32-0
Goals For5363
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricHiberniansHamrun Spartans
Form53%47%
Att57%43%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total43.4%56.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hamrun Spartans and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.51 @ 1xBet
Draw4.34 @ Pinnacle
Away1.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hibernians = 0.75 (league 1.27), Hamrun Spartans = 1.40 (league 1.20)

Hamrun Spartans
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hibernians 0 11.6% 16.3% 11.4% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.2% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 52.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1