Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 20:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.27) 0.43 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.4% 24.9% 10.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
2 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sliema Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birkirkara 0 13.9% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.4% 9.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 7.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.4% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirkirkaraSliema Wanderers
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack86%57%
Defense57%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birkirkara Sliema Wanderers
HATHAT
Played81422121022
Wins63%14%32%42%40%41%
Draws13%29%23%33%30%32%
Loses25%57%45%25%30%27%

Form: Birkirkara: DDLDWWDWLWLLLLLLWLLWWD • Sliema Wanderers: WLWDDWLWDWDWWLDLWLLDWD

League goals

Metric Birkirkara Sliema Wanderers
HATHAT
GF total121224131326
GF avg1.50.91.11.11.31.2
GA total32225131326
GA avg0.41.61.11.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirkirkaraSliema Wanderers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%50%77%73%
1.527%45%36%32%
2.514%5%5%9%
3.59%5%0%5%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirkirkaraSliema Wanderers
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511516
Failed to score3710325

Penalties

MetricBirkirkaraSliema Wanderers
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBirkirkaraSliema Wanderers
Wins22
Draws22
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-42-02-3
Biggest losses0-26-10-42-0
Goals For5423
Goals Against2642

Model comparison

MetricBirkirkaraSliema Wanderers
Form58%42%
Att60%40%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Birkirkara or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birkirkara = 1.54 (league 1.27), Sliema Wanderers = 0.43 (league 1.20)

Sliema Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birkirkara 0 13.9% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.4% 9.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 7.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.4% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 10.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1