Mon, Feb 23 2026 • 19:00 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.27) 0.46 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.3% 24.6% 10.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.7%
2 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamrun Spartans 0 13.3% 6.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.7% 9.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 7.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.4% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack54%46%
Defense100%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamrun Spartans Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
Played121123101323
Wins67%55%61%60%38%48%
Draws25%36%30%20%31%26%
Loses8%9%9%20%31%26%

Form: Hamrun Spartans: DDWWDWWLDWWWLWWWWDWDWDW • Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDWDWDLWLDWLWWDWWD

League goals

Metric Hamrun Spartans Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
GF total221335141428
GF avg1.81.21.51.41.11.2
GA total651191423
GA avg0.50.50.50.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%35%74%65%
1.543%9%39%26%
2.513%4%9%9%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
HATHAT
Clean sheets8715358
Failed to score235246

Penalties

MetricHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
Wins42
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-33-11-3
Biggest losses1-32-00-23-0
Goals For6333
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricHamrun SpartansMarsaxlokk
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h60%40%
Goals63%37%
Total60.4%39.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Hamrun Spartans or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away6.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamrun Spartans = 1.56 (league 1.27), Marsaxlokk = 0.46 (league 1.20)

Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamrun Spartans 0 13.3% 6.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.7% 9.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.2% 7.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.4% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.3% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 10.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1