Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 15:00 • Tony Bezzina Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.24) 0.66 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 41.1% 32.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.9%
0 - 1
19.1%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Floriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamrun Spartans 0 28.9% 19.1% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHamrun SpartansFloriana
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack78%89%
Defense100%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hamrun Spartans Floriana
HATHAT
Played13112416824
Wins69%55%63%56%88%67%
Draws23%36%29%25%13%21%
Loses8%9%8%19%0%13%

Form: Hamrun Spartans: DDWWDWWLDWWWLWWWWDWDWDWW • Floriana: WWDLWWWWWLDWWWLDWWWDWWDW

League goals

Metric Hamrun Spartans Floriana
HATHAT
GF total241337261339
GF avg1.81.21.51.61.61.6
GA total651116319
GA avg0.50.50.51.00.40.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHamrun SpartansFloriana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%33%79%58%
1.546%8%58%17%
2.513%4%21%4%
3.58%0%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHamrun SpartansFloriana
HATHAT
Clean sheets97165510
Failed to score235415

Penalties

MetricHamrun SpartansFloriana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricHamrun SpartansFloriana
Wins45
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-34-10-3
Biggest losses1-32-01-3—
Goals For6343
Goals Against3231

Model comparison

MetricHamrun SpartansFloriana
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h75%25%
Goals83%17%
Total59.6%40.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Hamrun Spartans or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away3.95 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hamrun Spartans = 0.58 (league 1.24), Floriana = 0.66 (league 1.21)

Floriana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hamrun Spartans 0 28.9% 19.1% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 11.1% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.9% 3.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 41.1% · Away win 32.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1