Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.27) 1.50 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 25.9% 47.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 7.9% 11.8% 8.9% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.2% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.3% 6.4% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMostaMarsaxlokk
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack0%42%
Defense33%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 05 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mosta Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
Played121224101424
Wins8%25%17%60%36%46%
Draws42%0%21%20%29%25%
Loses50%75%63%20%36%29%

Form: Mosta: LWLDLLLLDWWLDLDWLLLLLDLL • Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDWDWDLWLDWLWWDWWDL

League goals

Metric Mosta Marsaxlokk
HATHAT
GF total14721141428
GF avg1.20.60.91.41.01.2
GA total21214291625
GA avg1.81.81.80.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMostaMarsaxlokk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%79%71%67%
1.525%46%38%29%
2.58%25%8%8%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMostaMarsaxlokk
HATHAT
Clean sheets235358
Failed to score5611257

Penalties

MetricMostaMarsaxlokk
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricMostaMarsaxlokk
Wins22
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-55-00-23-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against5523

Model comparison

MetricMostaMarsaxlokk
Form11%89%
Att0%100%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total39.4%60.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Marsaxlokk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ 10Bet
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away1.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No1.94 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mosta = 1.04 (league 1.27), Marsaxlokk = 1.50 (league 1.20)

Marsaxlokk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosta 0 7.9% 11.8% 8.9% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.2% 12.3% 9.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.3% 6.4% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 47.4%

vtt 2 , vtd1