Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 10:00 • Centenary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.24) 0.97 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.8% 19.3% 15.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Birkirkara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.3% 9.0% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNaxxar LionsBirkirkara
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack100%64%
Defense27%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Naxxar Lions Birkirkara
HATHAT
Played101424101424
Wins40%29%33%50%14%29%
Draws20%14%17%20%29%25%
Loses40%57%50%30%57%46%

Form: Naxxar Lions: LLDLLLWLDLLDLWWWLWLWLDWW • Birkirkara: DDLDWWDWLWLLLLLLWLLWWDDL

League goals

Metric Naxxar Lions Birkirkara
HATHAT
GF total171835131225
GF avg1.71.31.51.30.91.0
GA total13284172229
GA avg1.32.01.70.71.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNaxxar LionsBirkirkara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%54%54%
1.538%46%25%46%
2.517%29%13%8%
3.513%8%8%4%
4.54%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNaxxar LionsBirkirkara
HATHAT
Clean sheets2136511
Failed to score2464711

Penalties

MetricNaxxar LionsBirkirkara
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNaxxar LionsBirkirkara
Wins32
Draws12
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-45-00-4
Biggest losses1-34-00-36-1
Goals For5454
Goals Against3436

Model comparison

MetricNaxxar LionsBirkirkara
Form56%44%
Att63%37%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Naxxar Lions or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.93 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.11 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Naxxar Lions = 2.19 (league 1.24), Birkirkara = 0.97 (league 1.21)

Birkirkara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Naxxar Lions 0 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.3% 9.0% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 15.4%

vtt 4 , vtd1