Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 19:30 •
Al Merreikh Stadium
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.17)
0.57 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.3% | 23.6% | 12.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
2 - 0
14.8%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Muhanga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Muhanga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 42% | 67% |
| Defense | 83% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Muhanga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 13 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 50% | 54% | 52% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| Draws | 40% | 38% | 39% | 42% | 9% | 26% |
| Loses | 10% | 8% | 9% | 42% | 64% | 52% |
Form: Al Merreikh: WLLWWWWWWWDWDDDDDDWWDWD • Muhanga: LLLDWLLWWLDLLDLLLDLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Muhanga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 12 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 9 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Merreikh | Muhanga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 52% | 52% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 9% | 22% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Muhanga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Muhanga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Muhanga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Merreikh | Muhanga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Al Merreikh or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Merreikh = 1.66 (league 1.17), Muhanga = 0.57 (league 0.95)
| Muhanga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Merreikh | 0 | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 12.4%
vtt 4 , vtd1