Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 13:00 • Umuganda Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.16) 1.50 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.4% 24.3% 69.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.5%
0 - 2
19.9%
0 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Musanze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Etincelles 0 17.6% 26.5% 19.9% 10.0% 3.8% 1.1%
1 4.1% 6.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
2 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEtincellesMusanze
Played55
Form7%60%
Attack25%100%
Defense13%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Etincelles Musanze
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins0%11%6%50%38%44%
Draws44%44%44%20%25%22%
Loses56%44%50%30%38%33%

Form: Etincelles: DLDDDDDDLLWLLDLLLL • Musanze: LWDDDWWWDLLWLLWLWW

League goals

Metric Etincelles Musanze
HATHAT
GF total3912161127
GF avg0.31.00.71.61.41.5
GA total9142312719
GA avg1.01.61.31.20.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEtincellesMusanze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%83%72%67%
1.56%33%44%28%
2.56%6%33%11%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEtincellesMusanze
HATHAT
Clean sheets303246
Failed to score628235

Penalties

MetricEtincellesMusanze
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEtincellesMusanze
Wins13
Draws63
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-11-32-0
Goals For1333
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricEtincellesMusanze
Form10%90%
Att18%82%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total32.3%67.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Musanze and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ 10Bet
Draw3.10 @ Superbet
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Etincelles = 0.23 (league 1.16), Musanze = 1.50 (league 0.93)

Musanze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Etincelles 0 17.6% 26.5% 19.9% 10.0% 3.8% 1.1%
1 4.1% 6.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
2 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.4% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 69.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1