Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.18) 0.47 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 40.6% 20.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.1%
1 - 0
22.2%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gorilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bugesera 0 29.1% 13.7% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.2% 10.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBugeseraGorilla
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack75%50%
Defense38%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bugesera Gorilla
HATHAT
Played991811819
Wins44%11%28%27%25%26%
Draws22%44%33%27%50%37%
Loses33%44%39%45%25%37%

Form: Bugesera: WDDDLLDLWLLLWDWLWD • Gorilla: WDDDDWLLLWDDLLWLLDW

League goals

Metric Bugesera Gorilla
HATHAT
GF total97169413
GF avg1.00.80.90.80.50.7
GA total8111912719
GA avg0.91.21.11.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBugeseraGorilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%61%53%63%
1.522%33%16%21%
2.50%11%0%11%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBugeseraGorilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets437347
Failed to score336549

Penalties

MetricBugeseraGorilla
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBugeseraGorilla
Wins11
Draws34
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-22-00-1
Biggest losses2-33-10-34-0
Goals For2221
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricBugeseraGorilla
Form53%47%
Att60%40%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bugesera or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.83 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bugesera = 0.76 (league 1.18), Gorilla = 0.47 (league 0.95)

Gorilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bugesera 0 29.1% 13.7% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.2% 10.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 40.6% · Away win 20.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1