Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.17) 0.95 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 35.6% 43.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.4%
0 - 1
21.3%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Etincelles
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Kigali 0 22.4% 21.3% 10.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
1 12.2% 11.6% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS KigaliEtincelles
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack16%26%
Defense89%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Kigali Etincelles
HATHAT
Played10112112921
Wins10%36%24%17%11%14%
Draws50%18%33%42%44%43%
Loses40%45%43%42%44%43%

Form: AS Kigali: LLDWLLDWDLLDDDLWDLWWL • Etincelles: DLDDDDDDLLWLLDLLLLWWD

League goals

Metric AS Kigali Etincelles
HATHAT
GF total411157916
GF avg0.41.00.70.61.00.8
GA total91221111425
GA avg0.91.11.00.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS KigaliEtincelles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%62%81%
1.514%29%10%29%
2.50%10%5%5%
3.50%5%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS KigaliEtincelles
HATHAT
Clean sheets459404
Failed to score639628

Penalties

MetricAS KigaliEtincelles
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAS KigaliEtincelles
Wins22
Draws36
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-20-24-1
Goals For1223
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricAS KigaliEtincelles
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total48.8%51.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Etincelles and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Unibet
Draw2.94 @ Pinnacle
Away3.88 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Kigali = 0.55 (league 1.17), Etincelles = 0.95 (league 0.95)

Etincelles
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Kigali 0 22.4% 21.3% 10.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
1 12.2% 11.6% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 43.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1