Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.19) 0.52 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 28.9% 14.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.9%
0 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Amagaju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bugesera 0 15.9% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 10.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBugeseraAmagaju
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack47%16%
Defense58%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bugesera Amagaju
HATHAT
Played11920101121
Wins45%11%30%0%36%19%
Draws18%44%30%30%18%24%
Loses36%44%40%70%45%57%

Form: Bugesera: WDDDLLDLWLLLWDWLWDWL • Amagaju: WDLLLLWDLWLLLDLLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Bugesera Amagaju
HATHAT
GF total13720369
GF avg1.20.81.00.30.50.4
GA total111122131427
GA avg1.01.21.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBugeseraAmagaju
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%65%38%76%
1.525%35%5%24%
2.55%10%0%5%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBugeseraAmagaju
HATHAT
Clean sheets437145
Failed to score3367613

Penalties

MetricBugeseraAmagaju
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBugeseraAmagaju
Wins11
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-2—1-2
Biggest losses2-33-10-28-0
Goals For3212
Goals Against3328

Model comparison

MetricBugeseraAmagaju
Form58%42%
Att75%25%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bugesera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bugesera = 1.31 (league 1.19), Amagaju = 0.52 (league 0.96)

Amagaju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bugesera 0 15.9% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 10.9% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 14.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1