Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.19) 0.42 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 48.6% 22.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.7%
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 1
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Muhanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Kigali 0 39.7% 16.6% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 8.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS KigaliMuhanga
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack23%38%
Defense85%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Kigali Muhanga
HATHAT
Played111122111021
Wins9%36%23%9%30%19%
Draws55%18%36%45%0%24%
Loses36%45%41%45%70%57%

Form: AS Kigali: LLDWLLDWDLLDDDLWDLWWLD • Muhanga: LLLDWLLWWLDLLDLLLDLWD

League goals

Metric AS Kigali Muhanga
HATHAT
GF total411158513
GF avg0.41.00.70.70.50.6
GA total91221131528
GA avg0.81.11.01.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS KigaliMuhanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%55%48%81%
1.514%27%14%38%
2.50%9%0%14%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS KigaliMuhanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510224
Failed to score73105611

Penalties

MetricAS KigaliMuhanga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAS KigaliMuhanga
Wins22
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-11-2
Biggest losses0-34-20-23-0
Goals For1222
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricAS KigaliMuhanga
Form58%42%
Att38%63%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h75%25%
Goals75%25%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AS Kigali or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away7.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.56 @ Marathonbet
No1.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Kigali = 0.51 (league 1.19), Muhanga = 0.42 (league 0.96)

Muhanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Kigali 0 39.7% 16.6% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 8.4% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 48.6% · Away win 22.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1