League Cup — Finland
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 12:00 • Talin Jalkapallohalli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.83) 0.82 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 27.8% 22.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gnistan
0 1 2 3 4 5
HJK helsinki 0 11.2% 9.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.3% 12.6% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHJK helsinkiGnistan
Played32
Form33%17%
Attack13%9%
Defense83%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 12 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.35 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric HJK helsinki Gnistan
HATHAT
Played123202
Wins0%50%33%0%—0%
Draws0%0%0%50%—50%
Loses100%50%67%50%—50%

Form: HJK helsinki: LLW • Gnistan: LD

League goals

Metric HJK helsinki Gnistan
HATHAT
GF total033202
GF avg0.01.51.01.00.01.0
GA total134505
GA avg1.01.51.32.50.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHJK helsinkiGnistan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%50%100%
1.533%33%50%100%
2.533%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHJK helsinkiGnistan
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricHJK helsinkiGnistan
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHJK helsinkiGnistan
Wins00
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-3——
Biggest losses0-12-00-3—
Goals For0320
Goals Against1230

Model comparison

MetricHJK helsinkiGnistan
Form75%25%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h29%71%
Goals47%53%
Total53.4%46.6%

Advice: Double chance : HJK helsinki or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ William Hill
Draw5.70 @ 188Bet
Away9.25 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.90 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): HJK helsinki = 1.36 (league 1.83), Gnistan = 0.82 (league 1.21)

Gnistan
0 1 2 3 4 5
HJK helsinki 0 11.2% 9.2% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.3% 12.6% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.4% 8.6% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 22.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1