Super League — Kenya
Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.26) 0.45 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.5% 28.0% 12.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.2%
0 - 0
16.4%
2 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Kibera Black Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mombasa Elite 0 16.4% 7.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.2% 10.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMombasa EliteKibera Black Stars
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack47%40%
Defense60%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mombasa Elite Kibera Black Stars
HATHAT
Played78158816
Wins100%13%53%50%50%50%
Draws0%13%7%13%13%13%
Loses0%75%40%38%38%38%

Form: Mombasa Elite: WWWLWDWLWLLWLWL • Kibera Black Stars: LWWWDWLLLLLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Mombasa Elite Kibera Black Stars
HATHAT
GF total135186713
GF avg1.90.61.20.80.90.8
GA total315185712
GA avg0.41.91.20.60.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMombasa EliteKibera Black Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%50%56%
1.547%33%25%19%
2.57%13%6%0%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMombasa EliteKibera Black Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets415347
Failed to score055448

Penalties

MetricMombasa EliteKibera Black Stars
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMombasa EliteKibera Black Stars
Wins33
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-10-2
Biggest losses—4-00-12-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against1412

Model comparison

MetricMombasa EliteKibera Black Stars
Form32%68%
Att54%46%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kibera Black Stars

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mombasa Elite = 1.36 (league 1.26), Kibera Black Stars = 0.45 (league 0.80)

Kibera Black Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mombasa Elite 0 16.4% 7.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.2% 10.0% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.1% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 12.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1