Super League — Kenya
Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.25) 2.14 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.6% 17.7% 71.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.2%
0 - 1
14.2%
0 - 3
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Talanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mwatate United 0 6.6% 14.2% 15.2% 10.8% 5.8% 2.5%
1 3.8% 8.2% 8.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.4%
2 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMwatate UnitedTalanta
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack27%27%
Defense13%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mwatate United Talanta
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins13%13%13%38%38%38%
Draws25%25%25%38%13%25%
Loses63%63%63%25%50%38%

Form: Mwatate United: LDLLDDWDLLLLLLLW • Talanta: WLDDDWLWWLWLDLLW

League goals

Metric Mwatate United Talanta
HATHAT
GF total65116612
GF avg0.80.60.70.80.80.8
GA total1713304711
GA avg2.11.61.90.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMwatate UnitedTalanta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%50%50%
1.519%63%25%13%
2.50%31%0%6%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMwatate UnitedTalanta
HATHAT
Clean sheets112448
Failed to score448538

Penalties

MetricMwatate UnitedTalanta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMwatate UnitedTalanta
Wins12
Draws23
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-43-00-13-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against4313

Model comparison

MetricMwatate UnitedTalanta
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Talanta

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mwatate United = 0.58 (league 1.25), Talanta = 2.14 (league 0.79)

Talanta
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mwatate United 0 6.6% 14.2% 15.2% 10.8% 5.8% 2.5%
1 3.8% 8.2% 8.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.4%
2 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.6% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 71.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1