Fri, Apr 10 2026 • 12:30 •
Beirut Municipal Stadium
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.31)
1.14 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.6% | 29.1% | 37.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Shabab Al Sahel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahed | 0 | 11.0% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Ahed | Shabab Al Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 30% | 40% |
| Defense | 80% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Ahed | Shabab Al Sahel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 43% | 78% | 63% | 38% | 25% | 31% |
| Draws | 14% | 0% | 6% | 50% | 13% | 31% |
| Loses | 43% | 22% | 31% | 13% | 63% | 38% |
Form: Al Ahed: WWWWWLWLWLWLWWLD • Shabab Al Sahel: DDLLWDWDWWLLWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Al Ahed | Shabab Al Sahel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 17 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Ahed | Shabab Al Sahel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 44% | 56% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 19% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 6% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 13% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Ahed | Shabab Al Sahel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Ahed | Shabab Al Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Ahed | Shabab Al Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Ahed | Shabab Al Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Ahed or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Ahed = 1.07 (league 1.31), Shabab Al Sahel = 1.14 (league 1.23)
| Shabab Al Sahel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Ahed | 0 | 11.0% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 37.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1