Iraqi League
— Iraq
Thu, Jan 22 2026 • 14:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.25)
0.08 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.5% | 22.3% | 1.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
30.6%
2 - 0
23.5%
0 - 0
19.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Baghdad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Karma | 0 | 19.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al-Karma | Baghdad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 33% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 85% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al-Karma | Baghdad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Wins | 71% | 50% | 62% | 38% | 40% | 38% |
| Draws | 29% | 0% | 15% | 13% | 20% | 15% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 23% | 50% | 40% | 46% |
Form: Al-Karma: WWDLWLWDWWLWW • Baghdad: LLWWLLWWWLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Al-Karma | Baghdad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al-Karma | Baghdad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 38% | 62% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 8% | 31% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 0% | 8% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al-Karma | Baghdad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al-Karma | Baghdad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al-Karma | Baghdad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al-Karma | Baghdad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 75.3% | 24.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Al-Karma or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al-Karma = 1.54 (league 1.25), Baghdad = 0.08 (league 1.04)
| Baghdad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al-Karma | 0 | 19.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 1.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1